Potential market surprises in 2023
With the global economy reeling from numerous shocks, 2022 has been challenging for investors. But what surprises could 2023 bring? The heads of UBS Asset Management’s investment teams outline their key predictions for the coming year.
China booms
China booms
- China rolls out a domestic mRNA vaccine program, enabling it to fully reconsider its zero COVID-19 policy
- Chinese equities rebound as the country’s economic growth gets back on track
Oil spikes
Oil spikes
- The US stops running down its oil reserves, Chinese oil demand normalizes while Russian oil supply further contracts due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine
- Spare capacity across the world is rapidly eliminated, leading to a spike in oil prices.
The Musk effect
The Musk effect
- Technology companies realize they are overstaffed leading to the largest mass lay-offs in the sector since the bursting of the dot com bubble
Japan bond markets
Japan bond markets
- The Bank of Japan (BoJ) abandons its Yield Curve Control policy. This removes the last anchor on global yields.
US and China relations
US and China relations
- The US and China de-escalate tensions, finding common paths on trade and security, leading to 50% rally in global stock markets and a halving of developed market government yields.
Banking sector rebounds
Banking sector rebounds
- Global banks become the best-performing sector due to rising rates and limited credit risk
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Introducing our leadership team
Meet the members of the team responsible for UBS Asset Management’s strategic direction.
