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UBS Evidence Lab is a sell-side team of experts that work across more than 55 specialized areas creating insight-ready datasets. The experts turn data into evidence by applying a combination of tools and techniques to harvest, cleanse, and connect billions of data items each month. The library of assets, covering more than 5,000 companies, across all sectors and regions, is designed to help answer the questions that matter to investment decisions.

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HOLT is a business of Credit Suisse AG and its affiliates which are UBS Group Companies.  The HOLT methodology does not assign ratings or a target price to a security. HOLT is an analytical tool that involves use of publicly available, fact-based data and applies a set of proprietary quantitative algorithms and warranted value calculations against such data, collectively called the HOLT valuation model. The HOLT methodology is consistently applied to all the companies included in its database. The HOLT valuation model is a discounted cash flow model (DCF). The % upside/downside is the difference between HOLT’s default warranted price (as determined by an objective, systematic DCF framework) and a security’s most recent closing price, expressed as a percentage. Third-party data (including consensus earnings estimates) are systematically translated into a number of default variables and incorporated into the algorithms available in the HOLT valuation model. The source financial statement, pricing, and earnings data provided by outside data vendors are subject to quality control and may also be adjusted to more closely measure the underlying economics of firm performance. These adjustments provide consistency when analyzing a single company across time,or analyzing multiple companies across industries or national borders.

The default scenario that is produced by the HOLT valuation model establishes a warranted price that represents the expected mean value for a security based upon various factors, including the use of third-party data and empirically derived fade algorithms that forecast a firm’s future cash return on capital and growth rates over an extended period of time. A default set of algorithms apply to all the securities. As the data are updated, the warranted price updates automatically. A company’s future achieved return on capital or growth rate may differ from the result generated from the default scenario that is produced by the HOLT valuation model.  Additional information about the HOLT methodology is available upon request.